The Future: six drivers of global change Part 74

Sam Jones and Ben McLannahan, "Hedge Funds Say Shorting j.a.pan Will Work," Financial Times, November 29, 2012.

239 increase from twenty-eight today to forty by midcentury

Ibid.

240 contributed to the pressures that resulted in the French Revolution

NPR, "In Arab Conflicts, the Young Are the Restless," NPR, February 8, 2012, http://www.npr.org/2011/02/09/133567583/in-arab-conflicts-the-young-are-the-restless.

241 majority of the revolutions in developing countries

Jack Goldstone, "Population and Security: How Demographic Change Can Lead to Violent Conflict," Journal of International Affairs 56 (2002).

242 coincided with the young adulthood of the postWorld War II

Kenneth Weiss, "Runaway Population Growth Often Fuels Youth-Driven Uprisings," Los Angeles Times, July 22, 2012.

243 twice the rate of countries generally

"In Arab Conflicts, the Young Are the Restless," NPR.

244 have been in nations with youth bulges

"The Hazards of Youth," WorldWatch, October 2004.

245 during a period of food price hikes around the world

Joseph Chamie, "A 'Youth Bulge' Feeds Arab Discontent," Daily Star, April 15, 2011; Ashley Fantz, "Tunisian on Life One Year Later: No Fear," CNN, December 16, 2011, http://www.cnn.com/2011/12/16/world/meast/tunisia-immolation-anniversary/index.html.

246 number of jobs available to them is exceptionally low

Madawi Al-Rasheed, "Yes, It Could Happen Here: Why Saudi Arabia Is Ripe for Revolution," Foreign Policy, February 28, 2011.

247 will reach only 40 by midcentury

Fishman, "As Populations Age, a Chance for Younger Nations."

248 fertility of immigrant populations

Ibid.

249 population of developed countries to 10 percent

United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, "Trends in International Migrant Stock: Migrants by Age and s.e.x," http://esa.un.org/MigAge/index.asp?panel=8; United Nations Department of Social and Economic Affairs, "Trends in International Migrant Stock: The 2008 Revision," July 2009, http://www.un.org/esa/population/migration/UN_MigStock_2008.pdf.

250 increase from 7.2 percent twenty years earlier

Ibid.

251 moved from one region to another inside countries

Fiona Harvey, "Climate Change Could Trap Hundreds of Millions in Disaster Areas, Report Claims," Guardian, October 20, 2011.

252 developing country to developed regions of the world

Report of the Secretary-General, United Nations General a.s.sembly, "International Migration and Development," May 18, 2006.

253 "are about as numerous as those moving 'South-to-North' "

Ibid.

254 including Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Algeria

Anne-Sophie Labadie, "Greek Far-Right Rise Cows Battered Immigrants," Daily Star, May 25, 2012.