The Foundations of Science: Science and Hypothesis, The Value of Science Science and Method Part 22

The kinetic theory of gases has given rise to many objections, which we could hardly answer if we pretended to see in it the absolute truth. But all these objections will not preclude its having been useful, and particularly so in revealing to us a relation true and but for it profoundly hidden, that of the gaseous pressure and the osmotic pressure. In this sense, then, it may be said to be true.

When a physicist finds a contradiction between two theories equally dear to him, he sometimes says: "We will not bother about that, but hold firmly the two ends of the chain, though the intermediate links are hidden from us." This argument of an embarra.s.sed theologian would be ridiculous if it were necessary to attribute to physical theories the sense the laity give them. In case of contradiction, one of them at least must then be regarded as false. It is no longer the same if in them be sought only what should be sought. May be they both express true relations and the contradiction is only in the images wherewith we have clothed the reality.

To those who find we restrict too much the domain accessible to the scientist, I answer: These questions which we interdict to you and which you regret, are not only insoluble, they are illusory and devoid of meaning.

Some philosopher pretends that all physics may be explained by the mutual impacts of atoms. If he merely means there are between physical phenomena the same relations as between the mutual impacts of a great number of b.a.l.l.s, well and good, that is verifiable, that is perhaps true. But he means something more; and we think we understand it because we think we know what impact is in itself; why? Simply because we have often seen games of billiards. Shall we think G.o.d, contemplating his work, feels the same sensations as we in watching a billiard match? If we do not wish to give this bizarre sense to his a.s.sertion, if neither do we wish the restricted sense I have just explained, which is good sense, then it has none.

Hypotheses of this sort have therefore only a metaphorical sense. The scientist should no more interdict them than the poet does metaphors; but he ought to know what they are worth. They may be useful to give a certain satisfaction to the mind, and they will not be injurious provided they are only indifferent hypotheses.

These considerations explain to us why certain theories, supposed to be abandoned and finally condemned by experiment, suddenly arise from their ashes and recommence a new life. It is because they expressed true relations; and because they had not ceased to do so when, for one reason or another, we felt it necessary to enunciate the same relations in another language. So they retained a sort of latent life.

Scarcely fifteen years ago was there anything more ridiculous, more navely antiquated, than Coulomb's fluids? And yet here they are reappearing under the name of _electrons_. Wherein do these permanently electrified molecules differ from Coulomb's electric molecules? It is true that in the electrons the electricity is supported by a little, a very little matter; in other words, they have a ma.s.s (and yet this is now contested); but Coulomb did not deny ma.s.s to his fluids, or, if he did, it was only with reluctance. It would be rash to affirm that the belief in electrons will not again suffer eclipse; it was none the less curious to note this unexpected resurrection.

But the most striking example is Carnot's principle. Carnot set it up starting from false hypotheses; when it was seen that heat is not indestructible, but may be transformed into work, his ideas were completely abandoned; afterwards Clausius returned to them and made them finally triumph. Carnot's theory, under its primitive form, expressed, aside from true relations, other inexact relations, _debris_ of antiquated ideas; but the presence of these latter did not change the reality of the others. Clausius had only to discard them as one lops off dead branches.

The result was the second fundamental law of thermodynamics. There were always the same relations; though these relations no longer subsisted, at least in appearance, between the same objects. This was enough for the principle to retain its value. And even the reasonings of Carnot have not perished because of that; they were applied to a material tainted with error; but their form (that is to say, the essential) remained correct.

What I have just said illuminates at the same time the role of general principles such as the principle of least action, or that of the conservation of energy.

These principles have a very high value; they were obtained in seeking what there was in common in the enunciation of numerous physical laws; they represent therefore, as it were, the quintessence of innumerable observations.

However, from their very generality a consequence results to which I have called attention in Chapter VIII, namely, that they can no longer be verified. As we can not give a general definition of energy, the principle of the conservation of energy signifies simply that there is _something_ which remains constant. Well, whatever be the new notions that future experiments shall give us about the world, we are sure in advance that there will be something there which will remain constant and which may be called _energy_.

Is this to say that the principle has no meaning and vanishes in a tautology? Not at all; it signifies that the different things to which we give the name of _energy_ are connected by a true kins.h.i.+p; it affirms a real relation between them. But then if this principle has a meaning, it may be false; it may be that we have not the right to extend indefinitely its applications, and yet it is certain beforehand to be verified in the strict acceptation of the term; how then shall we know when it shall have attained all the extension which can legitimately be given it? Just simply when it shall cease to be useful to us, that is, to make us correctly foresee new phenomena. We shall be sure in such a case that the relation affirmed is no longer real; for otherwise it would be fruitful; experiment, without directly contradicting a new extension of the principle, will yet have condemned it.

PHYSICS AND MECHANISM.--Most theorists have a constant predilection for explanations borrowed from mechanics or dynamics. Some would be satisfied if they could explain all phenomena by motions of molecules attracting each other according to certain laws. Others are more exacting; they would suppress attractions at a distance; their molecules should follow rectilinear paths from which they could be made to deviate only by impacts. Others again, like Hertz, suppress forces also, but suppose their molecules subjected to geometric attachments a.n.a.logous, for instance, to those of our linkages; they try thus to reduce dynamics to a sort of kinematics.

In a word, all would bend nature into a certain form outside of which their mind could not feel satisfied. Will nature be sufficiently flexible for that?

We shall examine this question in Chapter XII, _a propos_ of Maxwell's theory. Whenever the principles of energy and of least action are satisfied, we shall see not only that there is always one possible mechanical explanation, but that there is always an infinity of them.

Thanks to a well-known theorem of Konig's on linkages, it could be shown that we can, in an infinity of ways, explain everything by attachments after the manner of Hertz, or also by central forces.

Without doubt it could be demonstrated just as easily that everything can always be explained by simple impacts.

For that, of course, we need not be content with ordinary matter, with that which falls under our senses and whose motions we observe directly.

Either we shall suppose that this common matter is formed of atoms whose internal motions elude us, the displacement of the totality alone remaining accessible to our senses. Or else we shall imagine some one of those subtile fluids which under the name of _ether_ or under other names, have at all times played so great a role in physical theories.

Often one goes further and regards the ether as the sole primitive matter or even as the only true matter. The more moderate consider common matter as condensed ether, which is nothing startling; but others reduce still further its importance and see in it nothing more than the geometric locus of the ether's singularities. For instance, what we call _matter_ is for Lord Kelvin only the locus of points where the ether is animated by vortex motions; for Riemann, it was the locus of points where ether is constantly destroyed; for other more recent authors, Wiechert or Larmor, it is the locus of points where the ether undergoes a sort of torsion of a very particular nature. If the attempt is made to occupy one of these points of view, I ask myself by what right shall we extend to the ether, under pretext that this is the true matter, mechanical properties observed in ordinary matter, which is only false matter.

The ancient fluids, caloric, electricity, etc., were abandoned when it was perceived that heat is not indestructible. But they were abandoned for another reason also. In materializing them, their individuality was, so to speak, emphasized, a sort of abyss was opened between them. This had to be filled up on the coming of a more vivid feeling of the unity of nature, and the perception of the intimate relations which bind together all its parts. Not only did the old physicists, in multiplying fluids, create ent.i.ties unnecessarily, but they broke real ties.

It is not sufficient for a theory to affirm no false relations, it must not hide true relations.

And does our ether really exist? We know the origin of our belief in the ether. If light reaches us from a distant star, during several years it was no longer on the star and not yet on the earth; it must then be somewhere and sustained, so to speak, by some material support.

The same idea may be expressed under a more mathematical and more abstract form. What we ascertain are the changes undergone by material molecules; we see, for instance, that our photographic plate feels the consequences of phenomena of which the incandescent ma.s.s of the star was the theater several years before. Now, in ordinary mechanics the state of the system studied depends only on its state at an instant immediately anterior; therefore the system satisfies differential equations. On the contrary, if we should not believe in the ether, the state of the material universe would depend not only on the state immediately preceding, but on states much older; the system would satisfy equations of finite differences. It is to escape this derogation of the general laws of mechanics that we have invented the ether.

That would still only oblige us to fill up, with the ether, the interplanetary void, but not to make it penetrate the bosom of the material media themselves. Fizeau's experiment goes further. By the interference of rays which have traversed air or water in motion, it seems to show us two different media interpenetrating and yet changing place one with regard to the other.

We seem to touch the ether with the finger.

Yet experiments may be conceived which would make us touch it still more nearly. Suppose Newton's principle, of the equality of action and reaction, no longer true if applied to matter _alone_, and that we have established it. The geometric sum of all the forces applied to all the material molecules would no longer be null. It would be necessary then, if we did not wish to change all mechanics, to introduce the ether, in order that this action which matter appeared to experience should be counterbalanced by the reaction of matter on something.

Or again, suppose we discover that optical and electrical phenomena are influenced by the motion of the earth. We should be led to conclude that these phenomena might reveal to us not only the relative motions of material bodies, but what would seem to be their absolute motions.

Again, an ether would be necessary, that these so-called absolute motions should not be their displacements with regard to a void s.p.a.ce, but their displacements with regard to something concrete.

Shall we ever arrive at that? I have not this hope, I shall soon say why, and yet it is not so absurd, since others have had it.

For instance, if the theory of Lorentz, of which I shall speak in detail further on in Chapter XIII., were true, Newton's principle would not apply to matter _alone_, and the difference would not be very far from being accessible to experiment.

On the other hand, many researches have been made on the influence of the earth's motion. The results have always been negative. But these experiments were undertaken because the outcome was not sure in advance, and, indeed, according to the ruling theories, the compensation would be only approximate, and one might expect to see precise methods give positive results.

I believe that such a hope is illusory; it was none the less interesting to show that a success of this sort would open to us, in some sort, a new world.

And now I must be permitted a digression; I must explain, in fact, why I do not believe, despite Lorentz, that more precise observations can ever put in evidence anything else than the relative displacements of material bodies. Experiments have been made which should have disclosed the terms of the first order; the results have been negative; could that be by chance? No one has a.s.sumed that; a general explanation has been sought, and Lorentz has found it; he has shown that the terms of the first order must destroy each other, but not those of the second. Then more precise experiments were made; they also were negative; neither could this be the effect of chance; an explanation was necessary; it was found; they always are found; of hypotheses there is never lack.

But this is not enough; who does not feel that this is still to leave to chance too great a role? Would not that also be a chance, this singular coincidence which brought it about that a certain circ.u.mstance should come just in the nick of time to destroy the terms of the first order, and that another circ.u.mstance, wholly different, but just as opportune, should take upon itself to destroy those of the second order? No, it is necessary to find an explanation the same for the one as for the other, and then everything leads us to think that this explanation will hold good equally well for the terms of higher order, and that the mutual destruction of these terms will be rigorous and absolute.

PRESENT STATE OF THE SCIENCE.--In the history of the development of physics we distinguish two inverse tendencies.

On the one hand, new bonds are continually being discovered between objects which had seemed destined to remain forever unconnected; scattered facts cease to be strangers to one another; they tend to arrange themselves in an imposing synthesis. Science advances toward unity and simplicity.

On the other hand, observation reveals to us every day new phenomena; they must long await their place and sometimes, to make one for them, a corner of the edifice must be demolished. In the known phenomena themselves, where our crude senses showed us uniformity, we perceive details from day to day more varied; what we believed simple becomes complex, and science appears to advance toward variety and complexity.

Of these two inverse tendencies, which seem to triumph turn about, which will win? If it be the first, science is possible; but nothing proves this _a priori_, and it may well be feared that after having made vain efforts to bend nature in spite of herself to our ideal of unity, submerged by the ever-rising flood of our new riches, we must renounce cla.s.sifying them, abandon our ideal, and reduce science to the registration of innumerable recipes.

To this question we can not reply. All we can do is to observe the science of to-day and compare it with that of yesterday. From this examination we may doubtless draw some encouragement.

Half a century ago, hope ran high. The discovery of the conservation of energy and of its transformations had revealed to us the unity of force.

Thus it showed that the phenomena of heat could be explained by molecular motions. What was the nature of these motions was not exactly known, but no one doubted that it soon would be. For light, the task seemed completely accomplished. In what concerns electricity, things were less advanced. Electricity had just annexed magnetism. This was a considerable step toward unity, and a decisive step.

But how should electricity in its turn enter into the general unity, how should it be reduced to the universal mechanism?

Of that no one had any idea. Yet the possibility of this reduction was doubted by none, there was faith. Finally, in what concerns the molecular properties of material bodies, the reduction seemed still easier, but all the detail remained hazy. In a word, the hopes were vast and animated, but vague. To-day, what do we see? First of all, a prime progress, immense progress. The relations of electricity and light are now known; the three realms, of light, of electricity and of magnetism, previously separated, form now but one; and this annexation seems final.

This conquest, however, has cost us some sacrifices. The optical phenomena subordinate themselves as particular cases under the electrical phenomena; so long as they remained isolated, it was easy to explain them by motions that were supposed to be known in all their details, that was a matter of course; but now an explanation, to be acceptable, must be easily capable of extension to the entire electric domain. Now that is a matter not without difficulties.

The most satisfactory theory we have is that of Lorentz, which, as we shall see in the last chapter, explains electric currents by the motions of little electrified particles; it is unquestionably the one which best explains the known facts, the one which illuminates the greatest number of true relations, the one of which most traces will be found in the final construction. Nevertheless, it still has a serious defect, which I have indicated above; it is contrary to Newton's law of the equality of action and reaction; or rather, this principle, in the eyes of Lorentz, would not be applicable to matter alone; for it to be true, it would be necessary to take account of the action of the ether on matter and of the reaction of matter on the ether.

Now, from what we know at present, it seems probable that things do not happen in this way.

However that may be, thanks to Lorentz, Fizeau's results on the optics of moving bodies, the laws of normal and anomalous dispersion and of absorption find themselves linked to one another and to the other properties of the ether by bonds which beyond any doubt will never more be broken. See the facility with which the new Zeeman effect has found its place already and has even aided in cla.s.sifying Faraday's magnetic rotation which had defied Maxwell's efforts; this facility abundantly proves that the theory of Lorentz is not an artificial a.s.semblage destined to fall asunder. It will probably have to be modified, but not destroyed.

But Lorentz had no aim beyond that of embracing in one totality all the optics and electrodynamics of moving bodies; he never pretended to give a mechanical explanation of them. Larmor goes further; retaining the theory of Lorentz in essentials, he grafts upon it, so to speak, MacCullagh's ideas on the direction of the motions of the ether.

According to him, the velocity of the ether would have the same direction and the same magnitude as the magnetic force. However ingenious this attempt may be, the defect of the theory of Lorentz remains and is even aggravated. With Lorentz, we do not know what are the motions of the ether; thanks to this ignorance, we may suppose them such that, compensating those of matter, they reestablish the equality of action and reaction. With Larmor, we know the motions of the ether, and we can ascertain that the compensation does not take place.

If Larmor has failed, as it seems to me he has, does that mean that a mechanical explanation is impossible? Far from it: I have said above that when a phenomenon obeys the two principles of energy and of least action, it admits of an infinity of mechanical explanations; so it is, therefore, with the optical and electrical phenomena.