The Future: six drivers of global change Part 49

22 carried a picture of George Was.h.i.+ngton in his breast pocket

John F. Kennedy, "Remarks at an Independence Day Celebration with the American Community in Mexico City," June 30, 1962, American Presidency Project, http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=8748.

23 twelve by the beginning of World War II

U.S. Department of State, "Democracy's Third Wave."

24 the number of democracies to thirty-six

Ibid.

25 decline to thirty from 1962 until the mid-1970s

Ibid.

26 with the collapse of communism in 1989

Ibid.

27 decline in the number of democratic nations in the world

Economist Intelligence Unit, Democracy Index 2010, 2010, http://www.eiu.com/democracy.

28 fourth wave of democratization

Larry Diamond, "A Fourth Wave or False Start?," Foreign Affairs, May 22, 2011.

29 increased in absolute terms to the highest level since 1945

Kagan, "Not Fade Away," January 11, 2012; Todd Purdum, "One Nation, Under Arms," Vanity Fair, January 2012.

30 almost equal to the military spending of the entire rest of the world

Purdum, "One Nation, Under Arms."

31 more pilots for unmanned vehicles than it trains pilots of manned fighter jets

Christian Caryl, "Predators and Robots at War," New York Review of Books, August 30, 2011; Elisabeth b.u.miller, "Air Force Drone Operators Report High Levels of Stress," New York Times, December 19, 2011.

32 drone pilots suffer post-traumatic stress disorder

Caryl, "Predators and Robots at War."

33 U.S. stealth drone and commanded it to land

Scott Peterson, "Downed US Drone: How Iran Caught the 'Beast,' " Christian Science Monitor, December 9, 2011; Rick Gladstone, "Iran Shows Video It Says Is of U.S. Drone," New York Times, December 9, 2011; "Insurgents Hack U.S. Drones," Wall Street Journal, December 17, 2009; "Iran 'Building Copy of Captured US Drone' RQ-170 Sentinel," BBC, April 22, 2012.

34 More than fifty countries

David Wood, "American Drones Ignite New Arms Race from Gaza to Iran to China," Huffington Post, November 27, 2012, http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/11/27/american-drones_n_2199193.html.

35 right to unleash deadly fire when threatened

Ibid.

36 doubt that the social, political, and economic foundations in China

Walt, "The End of the American Era"; Thair Shaikh, "When Will China Become a Global Superpower?," CNN, June 10, 2011, http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/asiapcf/06/10/china.military.superpower/index.html.

37 experts warn that the lack of free speech

Walt, "The End of the American Era"; Kagan, "Not Fade Away," January 11, 2012; Martin Feldstein, "China's Biggest Problems Are Political, Not Economic," Wall Street Journal, August 2, 2012; Frank Rich, "Mayberry R.I.P.," New York, July 22, 2012.

38 the concentrated autocratic power in Beijing

Ibid.